|
Trade,
development and 'monstrous' markets
By
Henry C K Liu
First appeared in Asia Times
on Line on June 20, 2002
An economy is a comprehensive and complex organism of which trade is
only
one sector. Yet nowadays, neoliberal economists and policy-makers tend
to view trade as the economy itself, downplaying the importance of the
public sector and other non-market social sectors of the economy.
Neoliberals promote market fundamentalism as the sole,
indispensable path for economic development, despite the fact that data
of the past decade have shown that trade tends to distort balanced
development in a way that hurts not only the less developed, but the
developed economies as well. Currently, in the United States, the mecca
of free-market entrepreneurism, the statist sectors - government
spending, health care, social and education services and defense - are
keeping the economy afloat, while finance, entrepreneurial ventures and
high-tech manufacturing languish in extended doldrums.
Unregulated markets lead naturally to the emergence of
monopolistic enterprises. Thus "free" markets are inherently
self-destructive of their own freedom. Free markets depend on
enlightened statism to remain free. Unregulated labor markets lead to
slavery. For many human social activities, the market has no positive
function. Free markets for human relationships, for example, lead to
prostitution. Free markets in power breed corruption. Socio-economic
Darwinism will eventually deplete the economic food chain: the fittest
cannot survive when all the weak that the strong need to exploit in
order to survive disappear. Government, from monarchy to democracy,
exists solely to protect the weak from the strong.
Globalization since the end of the Cold War has been viewed
increasingly as neo-imperialism by many even outside of the radical
left. This view is amply supported by field data. It has become obvious
to many in both developed economies and emerging markets that the
undervaluation of labor is indispensable for the creation of surplus
value that economists call capital. This capital then must seek new
investment opportunities in less developed economies where labor is
even cheaper. The investment opportunities of this adventure capital
point not to the beneficial development of the less developed
economies. This capital seeks higher return than it could get at home
for the benefit of its owners by exploiting even cheaper labor
overseas. Capital has acquired enormous market power for the
suppression of the value of labor both at home and abroad. Neoliberals
rationalize that globalization, while undeniably exploitative,
nevertheless produces tangible collateral benefits, even to the
exploited.
The infamous Lawrence Summers World Bank memo, in which he, as
chief economist, argued that the export of pollution to poor countries
represented "immaculate" economic logic because Third World lives were
worth less, is a classic example of warped neoliberal mentality.
This neoliberal approach of course was the same argument
presented by the defenders of 19th-century imperialism in which moral
rationalization was used to justify economic exploitation. Neoliberal
values, namely capitalistic democracy and market fundamentalism, become
the new smiling mask for economic exploitation not different from the
"white man's burden" of 19th-century Eurocentrism. The recurring
financial crises associated with financial globalization in the past
two decades have revived economic nationalism worldwide with parallels
to the political nationalism against imperialism of the previous
century.
John Atkinson Hobson (1858-1940), an English economist, wrote
in 1902 one the most insightful critiques of the economic basis of
imperialism. Hobson provided a humanist criticism of classical
economics, rejecting exclusively materialistic definitions of value.
With A F Mummery, he developed the theory of oversaving that was given
a generous tribute by John Maynard Keynes. Hobson's second major
contribution was his analysis of capitalism on which Lenin drew freely
to formulate the theory of imperialism as the highest stage of
capitalism. "Imperialism is capitalism at that stage of development at
which the dominance of monopolies and finance capitalism is
established; in which the export of capital has acquired pronounced
importance; in which the division of the world among the international
trusts has begun, in which the division of all territories of the globe
among the biggest capitalist powers has been completed." (Vladimir
Ilyich Lenin, 1870-1924, Imperialism, the Highest Stage of
Capitalism, Chapter 7 - 1916)
Thus until the Cold War, practically all anti-imperialist movements
were also anti-capitalist. Hobson did not touch on the economics of
environmental pollution associated with globalization. For all the
evils of 19th-century imperialism, environmental pollution was not one
of them.
Critics of globalization, from the left to the right, have
focused on four issues: 1) labor standards, 2) corporatism, 3)
environmental abuse and 4) global financial architecture.
A new focus on Hobson's ideas may yield useful insights in the
current debate on globalization economics. Specifically, Hobson's view
of the economic system from the standpoint of human values is worth
discussing. Hobson believed that the contradictions of production and
consumption, cost and utility, physical and spiritual welfare,
individual and social welfare, all find their likeliest mode of
reconciliation and of harmony in the treatment of global society as an
organism, and not as a collection of competing economies in the market
arena.
Karl Polanyi is also worth a revisit in this hour of
self-induced imminent collapse of the globalized market economy. The
principal theme of his Origins of Our Time: The Great Transformation
(1945) was that the world market economy in effect collapsed in the
1930s. Yet this familiar system was of very recent origin and had
emerged fully formed only as recently as the 19th century, in
conjunction with capitalistic industrialization. The current
globalization of markets following the fall of the the Soviet bloc is
also of recent post-Cold War origin, in conjunction with the advent of
the information age and finance capitalism.
Prior to the coming of capitalistic industrialization, the
market played only a minor part in the economic life of societies. Even
where market places could be seen to be operating, they were peripheral
to the main economic organization and activity of society. Polanyi
argued that in modern market economies, the needs of the market
determined social behavior, whereas in pre-industrial and primitive
economies the needs of society determined economic behavior. Polanyi
reintroduced the concepts of reciprocity and redistribution in human
relationships.
Reciprocity implies that people produce the goods and services
they are best at producing, and share them with others with joy. This
is reciprocated by others who are good at producing other goods and
services. There is an unspoken agreement that all would produce that
which they could do best and mutually share and share alike, not just
sold to the highest bidder. All find their fulfillment in separate
productive livelihoods. The motivation to produce and share is not
personal profit, but personal fulfillment, and avoidance of social
contempt, ostracism, and loss of social prestige and standing. This
motivation is still fundamental in finance capitalism, with the
emphasis on accumulating the most financial wealth, which is accorded
the highest social prestige. The annual report on the world's richest
100 as celebrities by Forbes is a clear evidence of this. The opinion
of figures such as Bill Gates and Warren Buffet are regularly sought by
the media on matters beyond finance, as if the possession of money
itself represents a diploma of wisdom.
Edward Luttwak explains in his recent book Turbo Capitalism,
"Super-winners are not only respected and admired for what they do but
also for what they know, or rather for what it is assumed they must
know. They are often asked to pronounce on the great questions of the
day, even those far removed from their fields of competence. During
1997, for example, both the champion software marketeer Bill Gates and
the champion currency speculator George Soros were constantly and
respectfully cited in the American media on a great variety of
subjects, including public education and the control of narcotics.
Their interviewers assumed as a matter of course that the extent of
their wisdom corresponds to the size of their incomes. Far from being
condemned for greed, winners are held in the highest regard, and the
greatest winners of all have almost an odor of sanctity."
Many religions consider the attitude toward money as often
more indicative of a person's true worth than the mere possession of
it. The same might be even more true for societies. This explains why
modern societies, whose members would be obsessed with a single-minded
quest for material wealth, would be constantly faced with recurring
crises of values. The pursuit of maximization of wealth leads
inevitably to the betrayal of human values that would otherwise forbid
unconscionable exploitation of and impersonal disregard for others.
Maximization breeds abuse. The Confucian doctrine of the Path of the
Golden Mean (Zhongyong Zhi Dao),
a concept of avoiding excesses, is instructive on this point. More is
not necessarily better; most is seldom best, and best is the mortal
enemy of good, as Voltaire has insightfully pointed out. A rich man
amid masses of poverty will not find himself a paradise on Earth. A
society that celebrates only the best will waste the good. The
relentless pursuit of absolute beauty will result in ugliness, which
explains why the art world is often infested with revolting characters.
The fact that the historical record of socialist politics is littered
with betrayals of the humane ideals of theoretical socialism should not
diminish the valor of those who have placed their hopes on the noble
vision, just as the materialistic efficiency of unregulated market
capitalism is no testimony on the moral validity of greed.
It is telling in the manner neo-classical economics treats the
trade-off between return on capital and compensation for labor. An
increase in return on capital is viewed as economic growth, while a
rise in pay for workers is viewed as non-productive inflation. What
moral rules enable the pampered corporate executive to receive a
generous bonus for abruptly firing thousands of workers in a recession?
Maximization of shareholder value through cost reduction is just a
euphemism for robbing workers to enrich the owners. It is a very sick
society that views as progress the depreciation of human workers in
favor of the maximization of appreciation of material assets.
In a money economy, it is a basic truism that only those who
have money can pay the bills at the end. If all are to pay their share,
ways must be found for all to earn sufficient money to participate
constructively on a healthy financial level, without permanent subsidy
from the economic order to which the poor have become burdensome wards.
In a bountiful world, poverty is seldom caused by someone else's
needing more than others. This is particularly true in a society in
which both greed and envy are constrained by moral precepts. One does
not have to be one of the world's richest men in order to avoid feeling
poor. Poverty is the result of underdevelopment in relation to the
production and consumption norms in a particular socio-economic order.
A case can be made that poverty is a byproduct of the institution of
money, with which poverty is often measured. It is the quest for
accumulation of money as capital that requires the exploitation of
humans at levels that produce poverty.
It is only when some singular segment of society fails extensively to
receive sufficient economic opportunity, or sufficient value for its
labor to maintain its fair share of consumption, as normatively
prescribed in the socio-economic order, that poverty is born. Social
cohesion will be threatened when poverty is perceived as the result of
institutionalized maldistribution of wealth, reflecting unfairness in
the sharing of the fruits of co-operative endeavor among different
socio-economic groups.
Poverty, however, cannot be defined by absolute income levels
alone, because poverty is actually a social problem with an economic
dimension. It is only because it is most conveniently recognizable in a
money-based economy by its financial aspect that poverty is often
mistaken as a simple matter of income deficiency.
Poverty is in reality a phenomenon of social despair. The
habitually unemployed, the unemployable, the underemployed and the
working poor in developed countries have higher absolute incomes or
public assistance payments than the middle class in other less
developed countries, whose members nevertheless do not consider
themselves poor because they have not lost hope in themselves or
self-respect for their own lot.
Poverty is a symptom of economic inefficiency and social
dislocation in society. Its existence in an economy hurts the rich as
well as the poor, and its pervasiveness in society alienates its
members from one another. Aside from being dehumanizing to those
suffering from it, it is destructive to the society tolerating it.
Poverty becomes a political issue when the poor are structurally
excluded from contributing to the economic process at levels that
enable its constituents to support a dignified life in a healthy
environment consistent with the cultural traditions of their society.
While there may always be those who enjoy higher income than others,
there is no socio-economic necessity for the poor to exist. Thus when
Ronald Reagan, leader of the free world, proclaimed that there would
always be poor people, he was defaulting on the responsibility of
political leadership.
Life without growth will become a zero-sum game in which
winners will gain only from the losers. In such a game, eventually all
would lose because of the game's self-terminating nature. Wealth
redistribution without growth always leads to social conflicts, the
final phase of which is generally settled with violence, the organized
form of which is war and the unorganized form is terrorism, and the end
game is revolution.
But growth cannot be defined simply in quantitative terms.
Quality of life and the range of available options are often more
revealing measures. Chinese society during the early part of the Tang
Dynasty (618-907), the golden age of Chinese civilization, was
fortunate in that its economy enjoyed long periods of continuous
growth. Along with material growth, cultural development and social
mobility also accelerated. Poverty in the form of pathological social
despair was not prevalent in Tang time. To be sure, there were severe
hardship and upheavals caused by war, particularly in the border
regions, by policy errors and religious fanaticism, by natural
disasters and even by personal misfortune. There were also recurring
incidents of governmental abuse and corruption. There were periodic
regional famines caused by natural calamities exacerbated by inadequate
transportation, despite government-sponsored relief efforts. But these
events were generally perceived by people as transient anomalies or force
majeure,
and not as structural defects of the social system. In other words,
such calamities were caused by nature or personal failings of the
individuals who ran the system rather than shortcomings of the social
order itself. People readily accepted periodic disasters, the
prevention of which was beyond the people's expectation of the scope
and ability of the political system. However, the occurrences of
natural disasters were sometimes interpreted as retribution for the
immoral behavior of the ruling sovereign. This connection between the
moral image of the sovereign and the fortune of the empire required the
ruler to ensure the well-being of the people, not just the efficient
operation of the market.
The flowering of Tang culture has its roots in the high
quality of life enjoyed by all its citizens, regardless of their social
positions and income levels, and the high standard of the efforts of
their labor, manual or intellectual, regardless of their commercial
values. Since money was only one of the determinants of a good life
rather than the all-consuming ingredient, the pleasures of life were
not denied to those who did not aspire to financial wealth, or those
who were unable to achieve it because they did not care to surrender to
society's financial rules. The inner peace preached by Taoist and
Buddhist precepts were verifiable by the individual's direct personal
experience in the socio-economic realm of the Tang era. The rejection
of materialistic concerns did not necessarily reduce one to abject
poverty, nor earned society's scorn. On the contrary, hermits were
respected by society and donations toward their upkeep were considered
as enlightened expressions of the donors' own sagacious insight rather
than ostentatious acts of charity. The "Selected Biographies" (Lie
Zhuan) section of the Old Book on Tang (Jiu Tang Shu),
compiled in 945 by court historiographers, contains a chapter on
hermits, with 21 entries, prefaced by a statement that the cultivation
of hermitage traditionally encourages the virtue of humility and
self-restraint while discouraging vulgar trends of competition and
greed, although its Confucian authors failed to address the irony that
a celebrated hermit is an oxymoron.
Generally, an imbalance existed between donors and recipients,
the number wishing to give frequently exceeding the number prepared to
receive. Whenever a seng (Buddhist monk) or a dao'shi
(Taoist priest) or a wandering free spirit should show up in a village,
his presence would be celebrated by an spontaneous outpouring of
generous giving by the villagers that would resemble an instant
festival. Even in modern time, sengs in Southeast Asia still
receive daily meals by simply walking through villages, without
begging, while the pious lay population awaits their habitual schedule
with the finest food in the house ready to give with eagerness, the way
bird-lovers feed their ornithic idols.
Presumably examples of this kind of non-monetary behavior
would be village communities where men made hunting parties and women
grew vegetables and tended to children. No money changed hands but all
contributed according to their abilities to the common welfare, and all
shared according to their needs. The family structure in modern
societies, while under constant financial attack, is still precariously
based on non-monetary bonds. Families still do not trade their children
the way professional sport teams trade valuable players. The widespread
bending of free-market regulations and peer pressure to rules of
behavior against predatory trading on Wall Street in the days following
September 11 also highlighted this motivation.
Redistribution is involved where a chief gathers together a
harvest into safe storage, then redistributes it to members of his
group by holding communal feasts and festivals. This serves both to
share the communal wealth fairly, and also to reinforce the social
structure, allocation indicating status and importance. These festivals
may also be used to reinforce relationships with neighboring tribes,
and the store may be used to supply the community's warriors if
circumstances require.
Polanyi recognized that marketplaces existed in ancient times,
and were present in primitive economies, but he argued that they
existed within a context of reciprocity. Money was often present, but
it was unimportant, and also operated within the context of
reciprocity. Often, money was used to settle the difference of value
between exchange of goods. These money-using daily markets were merely
convenient localized exchange places operating within the broad system
of reciprocity. There were also marketplaces for long-distance trade,
such as ports. But these were only for items which could not be
obtained within the area, and therefore could not be provided within
the local system of reciprocity.
Ancient and primitive economies had marketplaces but they were
not market economies. They were embedded economies. According to
Polanyi, a market economy is an economic system controlled by prices,
these prices determining how much is produced, and how what is produced
is distributed. Social considerations have no part in this system.
Money exists, which serves as purchasing power and enables its
possessors to acquire goods and services, which are priced in money
terms. People are motivated to acquire money with which they can then
purchase whatever they want, often including political influence or
privileges above the law.
Polanyi believed this monetary-based market economy sprang
suddenly into existence in the 19th century, thrusting aside the old
systems based on reciprocity and redistribution.
"The outstanding discovery of recent historical and
anthropological research is that man's economy, as a rule, is submerged
in his social relationships. He does not act so as to safeguard his
individual interests in the possession of material goods; he acts as to
safeguard his social standing, his social claims, his social assets. He
values material goods only in so far as they serve this end." (Polanyi
1945) Of course, in a culture that celebrates wealth accumulation for
its own sake, people will work to accumulate wealth. Napoleon belittled
Britain as a nation of shopkeepers.
Polanyi challenged Adam Smith, who suggested that the division
of labor depended upon the existence of the market, or upon man's
"propensity to barter, truck and exchange one thing for another",
because the market economy had not appeared to much extent in Smith's
time. Even where it had appeared, it was a subordinate feature of
economic life.
In his Trade and Market in the Early Empires, Polanyi
wrote, "What is to be done, though, when it appears that some economies
have operated on altogether different principles, showing a widespread
use of money, and far-flung trading activities, yet no evidence of
markets or gain made on buying or selling? It is then that we must
re-examine our notions of the economy."
Polanyi wrote on the formal and substantive meanings of the
term "economic". This distinguishes the methodology of economics from
that of economic anthropology. He argued that economics as we know it
depended on "formal" principles. Thus a set of allegedly self-evident
assumptions are made, which become premises used as the basis for a
sequence of logical deductions to a set of irrefutable conclusions.
Thus one can take Smith's statement about man's "propensity to barter,
truck and exchange one thing for another" and develop it to show how
money and markets came into being, and how they led in turn to
specialization of function, and increased productivity. But the method
of economic anthropology was "substantive" and depended upon empirical
observation from which principles of economic behavior were induced
from perceived evidence. Societies are first observed and the
principles of their economic activity recognized from their actual
behavior.
Polanyi's claim is that the empirical observations of the
substantivists reveal economic life in archaic and primitive economies
to be entirely different from that assumed by the formalists. The
McCarthy-era witch-hunt left an intellectual aversion to Marxism in the
US that Polanyi conveniently filled because of his broadly socialist
perspective.
Utilitarian ethics presumes that moral discussion originates
from the point of view of the individual ego. It consequently construes
all values as personal possessions. Christianity, Islam, Buddhism,
Confucianism, Marxism and other similarly comprehensive outlooks
believe that utilitarianism is mistaken in this. These outlooks begin
by recognizing that individuals do not atomically exist: "The real
nature of man is the totality of social relations," as Karl Marx
asserts. Hence values are social and cannot be adequately defined by an
inventory of personal possessions. Quality of life cannot be measured
by a bank account or by similarly assessing personal possessions,
including, perhaps, how a person is progressing in his or her
self-chosen life purpose. Somehow the public dimension must also be
assessed, not as utilitarians would do this - to reduce obstacles to
private projects - but in the sense of measuring dedication to a goal,
such as justice, or realization of other social values, such as
brotherly love.
The issue of wages is a serious one in market economics. The
suppression of normal wage rises from truly free-market forces is
accomplished by government anti-inflation policies based on a "natural"
rate of unemployment - what economists call non-accelerating inflation
rate of unemployment (NAIRU).
American writers such as Henry Demarest Lloyd (Wealth Against
Commonwealth), Ida M Tarbell (History of The Standard Oil
Company), and Lincoln Stephen (The Shame of The Cities)
exposed the inequity to herald the rebirth of American populism in
early 20th century. In 1912, a third political party came into
existence in the US, known as Progressives. In response, monopolists
rallied around Herbert Spencer's Social Darwinism of "survival of the
fittest". The problem of Social Darwinism is that all workers will
eventually die off and the rich would have to wash their own dishes, a
fate the rich avoid by keeping the unfit surviving at subsistence.
Social Darwinism went out of fashion in the US in the 1920s,
defeated by undeniable socio-economic litters of its failure, but
conservatives found a new line of defense against organizing the
economy for collective benefits. They argued that while the aim was
desirable, the task was beyond human capacity and that even if doable,
the direction was alien to American values. The October Revolution gave
this line of argument substance. If Russia had it, Americans did not
want it, despite the fact that much of the economic planning by the
early USSR was copied from highly successful US war planning efforts.
During World War I, while money wages increased all around,
the lower wages increased more than the cost the living. Labor
benefited from full employment. The railroads, shipping and
shipbuilding were taken over by government, resulting in huge increases
in productivity. The same happened after World War II.
The theory of rising wages asserts that employers should
understand that rising wages are the only venue of assuring strong
demand for their products, supported by the theory of technology-driven
productivity increases, and the broad-based ownership of securities to
spread wealth. The historical data show that the largest average
increases in purchasing power have taken place at recession times when
employers and bankers tried their beast to keep wages down, but the
stickiness of wages made wage deflation slower that price deflation, as
in the 1920-22 depression. The result was that when full employment
returned in 1923, US workers had higher purchasing power than they had
in 1920. But average manufacturing worker's yearly income decreased by
$55 between 1923 and 1928, a miner's income by $187. Falling wages amid
prosperity was a major structural cause, albeit little noticed, of the
1929 crash. If wages had been higher, equity prices would not have
risen as much, thus dampening the speculative fever. Wealth effects
from the speculative boom made low wages tolerable and caused a
corresponding rise in debt without altering prudential debt to equity
ratios. But when the speculative bubble burst, debt-equity ratios
skyrocketed and there were insufficient wage levels to sustain
consumption. Similar conditions appear to be facing the US economy now.
After the 1929 crash, the economic downward spiral was caused
mainly by falling wages. Despite all promises of maintaining
production, goods could not be sold as fast as they were produced
because of a collapse of income due to layoffs and wage reductions.
Globalization in the past two decades temporarily kept US purchasing
power increasing despite a slow growth of domestic wages. This resulted
from still lower wages in the emerging markets. Now the world is awash
with overcapacity in relations to low demand caused by insufficient
wage levels. For the past three years, China is the only nation that
has adopted a wage policy to stimulate domestic demand, which has been
largely responsible for China's continued growth in the face of global
recession.
The failed first Hoover Plan of holding the industrial status
quo and injecting "confidence" was built on the theory that nothing
much was fundamentally wrong and that what was needed was for everyone
to go on as before. When this theory failed to arrest the downward
spiral, US president Herbert Hoover shifted to a second phase,
admitting that something was amiss, that in mysterious ways the system
had gone off track, but the remedy was to let the excesses run their
natural course without government interference. The economic system if
left alone was deemed a self-compensating mechanism through market
forces, and would eventually restore equilibrium. Wages should be
allowed to sink, which would reduce costs and profit would return and
give incentive for renewed production, which would create jobs, etc. No
one asked how falling wages could promote sales and what good were low
production costs without sales. This was the forerunner of supply-side
economics, which even in the early phase of a boom would accelerate the
downturn because it by design leaves demand behind supply - a classic
case of increasing speculative risk for production in hope that demand
will follow. Production in the absence of ready demand is pure
speculative investing. It is suicide as a cure for a recession. Yet
current policymakers in many countries subscribe to the same faulty
theory, hoping for a "recovery" without having to correct structural
defects of the system.
The notion that market capitalism is superior as an economic
system is only a recent invention. And its success in the past decade
has been propped up by complex geopolitical factors. From the 1930s to
the 1950s, the US in fact adopted many aspects of the Soviet model of
planned economy. In 1931, a book about Russian planning, New
Russia's Primer
by M Ilin, was one of the more popular monthly choices in the Book of
the Month Club. Stuart Chase, an economist at the Massachusetts
Institute of Technology (MIT), proposed a Peace Industries Board as a
successor of the War Industries Board of 1918 and historian Charles
Beard suggested a National Economic Council to organize industrial
syndicates regulated under the theory of public-utility control and
supplemented by planning agencies for agriculture, public works,
foreign trade and the rebuilding of cities. A committee of the National
Progressive Conference in 1931 published a memo on "Long Range Planning
for the Stabilization of Industry". Schemes for planning by separate
autonomous industries according to the principles of trade associations
or cartel came from many business sources, from Gerald Swope of GE and
even the US Chamber of Commerce. National planning was the mantra of
the day. The National Bureau of Economic Research put together the
figures that came to be known today as GNP (gross national product),
NNI (net national income) and other indices. The growth of US higher
education was a centrally planned affair. The Federal Reserve Bulletin
on money credit and industrial production was issued for the purpose of
planning. The profession of economics itself grew up in the US under
the aegis of planning. Hoover was also a planner. He attempted to save
capitalism through government planning by abandoning laissez faire
and threw government credit into the breach to protect the great
capital hoard from the onslaught of deflation, not unlike what US
Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan is trying to do to prop up the
over-valued equity markets today.
Hoover, while in the name of laissez faire vetoing
government measures to help the unemployed, was at the same time
unleashing government to interfere with the free play of market forces
to protect the centers of economic power. The net result was history.
Not until president Franklin D Roosevelt adopted Keynesian and many
so-called socialist measures of demand management did the US economy
stir, and it remains controversial today whether a Keynesian program
could have succeeded without World War II. The RFC (Reconstruction
Finance Corp) was established at the end of 1931 to prevent pending
bankruptcies by lending government guaranteed funds raised from
tax-free debentures ($1.5 billion) to banks and business corporations
that were frozen out of the credit market - and the loans were even
kept secret to protect the credit ratings of the corporate borrowers.
Its original two-year temporary life was extended to well beyond the
end of World War II, until 1950, financing war expenditure in the
interim. The planned economy did not came under attack in the US until
well into the final phase of the Cold War, with the rise of supply-side
economics in the late 1970s.
Warren Nutter made a well-known study in 1962 for the National
Bureau of Economic Research: The Growth of Industrial Production in the
Soviet Union. It estimated the percentage of planned output achieved by
important industries at the end of successive five-year plans, in
"value-added" terms. The first five-year plan (1928-32) achieved 75
percent of its target, the second (1932-37), 76 percent. The plan
ending in 1950 achieved 94 percent and 1955 achieved 99 percent. The
area of trouble in Soviet planning was in agriculture, not so much in
the state farms but in the collective farms made of small farmers. The
knotty problem of reward and incentive in collective enterprise has yet
to be solved by human ingenuity. The same was also true in China. When
China abandoned collective farming, the agricultural problem also
eased. Even in the US, free-market principles never touched
agriculture, which has remained a fortress of government subsidy.
The Agenbeguan report, published on July 9, 1965, in the New
Statesmen, gave a revealing assessment of the Soviet economy as still
backward in industrial production compared with other developed
economies, even though Russia had come from a lower base. The USSR had
as many machine tools as the US, but some 50 percent of them were in
constant repair. Production was siphoned off to maintenance. The report
proposed a form of just-in-time inventory (in 1965!). And the
agricultural problem had not been solved (and would not be solved by
the end of the USSR and is still not solved today). The report focused
also on rising unemployment, which had been denied in official figures.
The report identified the defense sector as the cause of these
problems. It was a direct attack on incompetent management disguised as
planning.
This is an important point. The US excels in corporate and strategic
planning, despite the myth of free enterprise and competition. The
Soviets erred by neglecting the science of management and suffered from
both excessive centralization and excessive democracy at the
operational level. Workers could not be fired or laid off by mangers
and were not particularly obliged to carry out instructions, on the
ground of political equality. China was faced with the same problem
with its copying of the Soviet model, which Chinese planners did not
correct until after 1978. In management terms, production increased in
the Chinese economy when management was given more autocratic power,
not less, despite Western wishful thinking. General Motors was not run
by democracy. There is no democracy in the corporate organizational
structure or governance, power being vested in the number of shares
rather than the corporate population. In fact, the American managers in
the GM joint-venture operation in Shanghai repeatedly complained openly
about increasing Chinese political liberalization and its damaging
effect on productivity. They longed for a return of the good old days
when the Communist Party commissar called all the shots and problems
could be solved by getting the approval of a few powerful persons
rather than endless levels of power centers. The Central Intelligence
Agency never predicted the collapse of the USSR, especially from
structural economic shortcomings.
There is a fundamental relationship between wages and prices.
Pricing policies of firms as they are actually practiced in the real
world, both by cartels such as the Organization of Petroleum Exporting
Countries (OPEC), and by market leaders in pharmaceuticals, software,
communication and by commodity producers, have one thing in common.
Pricing policies across all these different economic sectors are
predicated on the proposition that price is seldom, if ever, set by the
intersection of supply and demand, as neo-classical economics textbooks
teach. The bottom line is that price determined not by supply and
demand but by strategies that aim at optimizing the long-term value of
assets and political power.
OPEC pricing is a good example. Throughout the history of oil, price
has been set by highly complex considerations and supply has always
been adjusted to maintain the set price. In pharmaceuticals, price is
set neither by cost nor demand. The pricing model of any new drug aims
at achieving maximum lifetime value of the drug that has very little to
do with current supply and demand. Microsoft's pricing model for
Windows has nothing to do with supply and demand, or marginal costs,
which are close to zero. Telephone charges are similarly disconnected
from supply and demand, or marginal costs. Even in the auto industry,
the dinosaur of the old economy, where cost input is high and
discounted return on capital low, pricing is based more on complex
considerations than demand. With 80 percent of autos financed or
leased, subsidy of financing costs is the name of the game, not sticker
price. Farm commodities prices are definitely not set by the
intersection of supply and demand. They are set artificially high by
political considerations by practically all producer governments; and
both supply and demand are artificially distorted to maintain the
politically set price. The general consensus of mainstream economists
on the global steel overcapacity problem is to reduce capacity, not to
let prices fall. The Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences (Nobel
Prize) was awarded to Joseph Stiglitz, George Akerlof and A Michael
Spence for "their analyses of markets with asymmetric information". In
his acceptance press conference, Stiglitz said, "Market economies are
characterized by a high degree of imperfections."
Price in fact is the most manipulated component in trade. That
is the fundamental flaw of market fundamentalism. Friedrich Hayek's
rejection of socialist thinking is based on his view that prices are an
instrument of communication and guidance, which embodies more
information than each market participant individually processes. To
Hayek, it is impossible to bring about the same price-based order based
on the division of labor by any other means. Similarly, the
distribution of incomes based on a vague concept of merit or need is
impossible. Prices, including the price of labor, are needed to direct
people to go where they can do the most good. The only effective
distribution is one derived from market principles. On that basis,
Hayek intellectually rejects socialism.
The only trouble with this view is that Hayek's notion of
price is a romantic illusion and nowhere practiced. That was how the
native Americans sold Manhattan to the Dutch for a handful of beads.
In Hayek's social philosophy, value and merit are and ought to
be two distinctly separate issues. Individuals should be remunerated
purely on the basis of value and not in accordance with any concept of
justice, whether it be the Puritan ethic or egalitarianism. Hayek went
so far as to deny that the concept of social justice had any meaning
whatever, on the basis that justice refers to rules of individual
conduct. Since no rules of the conduct of individuals can determine how
the good things of life should be distributed, the question of justice
is moot. Since a free market is the natural outcome of a multitude of
individual decisions, how the market decides is amoral. Yet basic human
needs such as safe shelter, food, health care and education are not
distributional issues. The world's economy can supply every human being
with adequate needs, but for the "market".
But according to Hayek, a spontaneously working market, where
prices act as guides to action, cannot take account of what people need
or deserve, because it operates according to a neutral distribution
system that nobody has designed. Such a distribution system cannot be
just or unjust. And the idea that things ought to be designed in a
"just" manner means, in effect, that one must abandon the market and
turn to a planned economy in which somebody decides how much each ought
to have. And the price for that justice is the complete abolition of
personal liberty. So, in the name of liberty, the world is forced to go
hungry while economies suffer overcapacity.
Hayek's free-market ideas have been applied to much of
unregulated globalization in recent decades, and the socio-economic
damage is now very visible. Not withstanding Hayek's repugnant social
philosophy, even his "scientific" claims on the effectiveness of free
markets has not been substantiated by events. A transaction requires a
buyer and a seller at a price. It is easier for a camel to go through
the eye of a needle than for both buyer and seller to be satisfied with
any given price. One side of a "win-win" transaction is always an
idiot.
All economies are planned. Some are planned through "market"
mechanism in order to deny societal values, while others are planned
according to societal values. Demand, in the sense neo-classical
economists use the term, has to do with untainted market forces. Yet
the manipulation of demand against market forces is widely practiced.
It is intervention against "free" markets. Free marketeers consider the
unseen hand of government as intervention, but the unseen hand of price
setters as a cannon of natural laws.
What about supply? Neo-classical economists do not propose
supply curves for non-competitive markets. However, supply curves in
competitive markets are just cost summaries, and every firm has a cost
structure. So in that sense, the supply considerations are also
completely relevant. Supply and demand are two sides of the same coin
and in fact quite inseparable. In pharmaceuticals, demand is related to
the illness, not the availability of drugs. Many useless drugs are
marketed and sold with proper warnings, often at great profit (a
perverse version of Say's law - supply creates its own demand).
Addiction to cigarette smoking creates demand that leads to supply in
the form of tobacco production, which for centuries received government
subsidy in tobacco farming. Smoking causes cancer. The tobacco industry
contributes to cancer research on cure but not on prevention, because
the hope of a cure for cancer will neutralize the great threat to the
future of the tobacco industry, while prevention directly threatens the
industry. Now, all that eventually comes out of the wash in cigarette
pricing models. Take the case of drugs for AIDS. There is an intense
debate going on regarding the pricing and availability of "promising"
drugs for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infections. And the drugs
are not available for those who need them most, nor in areas that need
them most to reduce HIV's spread, but to those who most are able to pay
for it or who are adequately covered by health insurance.
It's time for a fundamental rethink of the theology of supply
and demand and the function of price in so-called free markets. To
start with, all markets are coercive, participants are seldom, if ever,
free to act, but are compelled to act, with very little room to reduce
their individual disadvantages. The law governing markets is power,
with government, being as institution endowed with the most power,
always the most influential participant. Some governments choose to
control the market indirectly while other choose to control it
directly. All governments reserve the right to set the rules of the
market. Some governments subscribe to ideologies that tilt toward
equalization in the name of fairness, while others subscribe to
ideologies that tilt toward hierarchy in the name of efficiency. These
rules predetermine the winners and losers, while the average market
participant innocently hangs on to the Horatio Alger myth.
Friedrich List, in his National System of Political Economy
(1841), asserts that political economy as espoused in England, far from
being a valid science universally, was merely British national opinion,
suited only to English historical conditions. List's institutional
school of economics asserts that the doctrine of free trade was devised
to keep England rich and powerful at the expense of its trading
partners and it must be fought with protective tariffs and other
protective devises of economic nationalism by the weaker countries.
Henry Clay's "American system" was a national system of political
economy.
Market fundamentalism has wrecked economies all around the
world. Yet neo-liberals continue to promote the false hope that the
market will save the world from the onslaught of a severe depression.
It is time to rein in this monstrous institution known as the market
and to plan rationally for human development.
|
|
|
|
|